For most people, modern economic life feels increasingly unstable: housing grows unaffordable, wages seem to lag behind prices, wealth concentrates…
Browsing: Economics
At this year’s Jackson Hole Economic Symposium—the annual gathering of central bankers and leading economists—a single academic paper stole the…
For decades, Japan has defied gravity in public finance. Despite a debt-to-GDP ratio exceeding 260%, ultra-low interest rates and the…
Gold’s long-term price trajectory is often misunderstood. It is frequently framed as a commodity cycle, an inflation hedge, or a…
S&P 500 is breaking down versus gold, Gold is bottoming versus the Dow Jones, Gold is breaking out versus the…
In recent years, the U.S. Treasury has relied heavily on short-term debt instruments, such as Treasury bills (T-bills) and short-duration…
The Recession Threshold: 18% Tax Receipts of GDP One of the most striking patterns in U.S. economic history is the…
Predicting recessions is a tricky business, but economists and analysts often rely on a combination of historical data, economic indicators,…
Abstract Over the past century, U.S. federal debt has expanded in a non-linear manner characterized by discrete accelerations rather than…
Introduction: There’s growing concern among financial analysts that hedge funds are becoming major players in the U.S. Treasury market, which…
In recent years, a quiet but significant shift has been unfolding in the world of global finance. Since 2014—and with…
Inflation mattered little to the Fed in 2007/08. The Fed kept cutting with YoY CPI rising from 2.0 in July…
Note: Discussions about Sweden’s future religious makeup are highly controversial. Predictions of a “majority Muslim” Sweden have fueled heated debates…
As the global economy faces headwinds in 2024, there is a growing concern about the potential resurgence of inflation, despite…
In the vast and intricate realm of economic policy, the trajectory of the U.S. federal debt has become a topic…